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Labor Risk and Corporate Credit Spreads: The Expected Recovery Rate Channel
- Li, Zhipeng
- Advisor(s): Eisfeldt, Andrea
Abstract
Intangible capital embodied in the firm’s key employees has become an increasingly
important factor of production. Potential separation of employees upon default
reduces the expected remaining value of the firm’s asset. Therefore, investors should
expect lower recovery rates and require higher bond spreads for labor-intensive firms.
I construct a market-based proxy for firm-level recovery rates and show that recovery
rate variations are an important determinant of bond spreads. Then I find firms with
relatively higher labor shares have lower average recovery rates and higher spreads
through quasi-experiments.
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